Dashboard – May 16 – 20, 2016

 

 

 

 

 

SELECTIONS

MONDAY:   More earnings coming up and oil gets a boost from Goldman Sachs to start the week. Hopefully there will be no major surprises so we can get some trades done this week to end the May 2016 option cycle

TUESDAY:   After yesterday’s unexpected 1% gain, the early futures trading is at least holding on, in part helped by strong earnings from Home Depot. Clearly, the consumer is buying something.

WEDNESDAY:  Remember Monday’s gain? Funny thing about that. Well maybe not so funny if you took the bait on Monday. This morning the futures are flat as we await some earnings news and maybe think a little about some news of rising prices and their role in inflation and in shaping the FOMC’s thoughts

THURSDAY: For a change, some decent earnings news greets investors as the morning begins as traders weigh the FOMC’s greater than anticipated hawkishness

FRIDAY:.  This monthly option cycle finally comes to an end and there’s some hope for rollovers or assignments as futures are slightly higher

 

 

 



 

                                                                                                                                           

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Weekly Summary

  

Dashboard – May 9 – 13, 2016

 

 

 

 

 

SELECTIONS

MONDAY:   Not too much going on this week, but retailers are reporting earnings and they’re not expected to be very good, maybe even below lowered expectations. Well, at least we have oil higher this morning

TUESDAY:   Markets point toward a higher open this morning as oil is also showing some strength. The real test comes as retailers are now reporting numbers and the weak are getting weaker. If the big players are the same, the market probably won’t react kindly

WEDNESDAY:  After yesterday’s 222 point gain, coincidentally while oil also headed much higher, this morning may give a small portion back. That portion could change as big retailers begin their flow of earnings reports starting today.

THURSDAY: Up 222 on Tuesday, down 217 yesterday. Well, at least that’s a net gain of 5. This morning’s futures are mildly higher, as is oil, trying to recover from yesterday’s retailer shock

FRIDAY:.  The week looks as if it wants to end on a flat note, having been punctuated mid-week by equally large and opposite moves. More retail next week, but maybe we’re now prepared for the moribund consumer and the economy he created

 

 

 



 

                                                                                                                                           

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 “SNEAK PEEK AT NEXT WEEK” APPEARS ON FRIDAYS

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Weekly Summary

  

Dashboard – May 2 – 6, 2016

 

 

 

 

 

SELECTIONS

MONDAY:   Lots of earnings reports this week, but not too many of consequence. That happens next week as retailers begin to report. In the meantime, the week will end with an Employment Situation Report and we’ll find out whether there are more people in a position to be spending their money

TUESDAY:   Market picked up 100 points yesterday and looking to lose the same today. Why? Because Tuesday. Does there need to be a reason? Earnings, oil, interest rates? Maybe none of the above

WEDNESDAY: More heavy losses appear to be in store as the futures are trading and both oil and commodities are weak, as we await the ADP Report that could give some insight into Friday’s Employment Situation Report.

THURSDAY: Oil led the way down yesterday, but in this morning’s early trading, while it is again sharply higher, the S&P 500 futures have been giving up on their substantial early gains, so hold on.

FRIDAY:.  Today’s Employment Situation report could spell the difference for the week, which is already down enough to notice and heading a bit lower before this morning’s announcement.

 

 

 



 

                                                                                                                                           

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 “SNEAK PEEK AT NEXT WEEK” APPEARS ON FRIDAYS

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Weekly Summary

  

Dashboard – April 25 – 29, 2016

 

 

 

 

 

SELECTIONS

MONDAY:   It’s a big week ahead with lots of earnings, an FOMC Statement release and the GDP, but markets look like they may open the day flat

TUESDAY:   Stocks recovered nicely from their lows yesterday to finish fairly flat. This morning’s open looks to be the same, even as most of the days right before the FOMC Statement release for the past few years have been strongly positive.

WEDNESDAY: Last night’s large earnings disappointments seem to be offset by stronger oil prices in the futures trading, as we get ready for the FOMC Statement release in the afternoon

THURSDAY: Last night’s closing bell brought some decent earnings after a no surprise FOMC Statement release. This morning, as oil is flat, the market is trying to give up all of the small gains for the week.

FRIDAY:.  After yesterday’s big Icahn inspired decline, the week looks as if it may come to a quiet end

 

 

 



 

                                                                                                                                           

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Weekly Summary

  

Dashboard – April 18 – 22, 2016

 

 

 

 

 

SELECTIONS

MONDAY:   The week opens with no surprise. Oil producers failed to come to the agreement that was rumored. The real surprise is that markets are cautious in their give backs of last week’s oil inspired gains. Maybe we’ll concentrate on earnings, instead.

TUESDAY:  Another good day appears to be at hand, even as earnings aren’t reflecting anything other than being able to meet or exceed lowered expectations. Meanwhile oil is up strongly again as Doha is all but forgotten

WEDNESDAY: Stocks managed a gain yesterday. This morning it’s being given back, but not by as much as the decline in oil might have ordinarily resulted in. Maybe earnings will keep the illusion going, a the bar to be disappointed is lowered even further.

THURSDAY: Maybe another quiet day awaits, as more earnings pour in, although yesterday the earnings related news wasn’t all bad, The strategy of under promising and then meeting those lowered expectations seems to be working, however, as stocks have been steadily climbing higher, although oil’s ascent can’t be minimized.

FRIDAY:.  Markets followed oil lower yesterday, but started seeing some large earnings related declines during the session and then some more disappointments after the close. Futures this morning, however, are not reflecting overnight damage

 

 

 



 

                                                                                                                                           

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Weekly Summary

  

Dashboard – April 11 – 15, 2016

 

 

 

 

 

SELECTIONS

MONDAY:   Earnings get started for real on Wednesday morning with JP Morgan Chase, otherwise it may be more of the same until and maybe even after then: Oil and speculation over when interest rates are going to move higher

TUESDAY:  Well, yesterday was really confusing. You may try to look for reasons, but it could be hard to explain the gap higher, the loss, the rebound and then the final move to close the day at a loss. Today, looks like a breather at the open to give us some time to reflect.

WEDNESDAY: Earnings season starts in earnest this morning with JP Morgan Chase leading off, as futures are again strongly higher following yesterday’s oil related surge, which itself was based on the premise that Saudi Arabia and Russia will agree to cut back their own oil production regardless of Iran’s intent

THURSDAY:  2 days of big gains, and almost 3, if Monday had,t turned around may be getting ready for a rest today. Maybe. There are more big bank earnings ahead and even as oil is asleep today, the market went higher without it yesterday.

FRIDAY:.  Markets look loke they may continue yesterday’s flat close, but still having left it a good week, without any earnings relatyed damage. Now its up to the promise of lower oil output to rule over the following week.

 

 

 



 

                                                                                                                                           

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Weekly Summary

  

Dashboard – March 28 – April 1, 2016

 

 

 

 

 

SELECTIONS

MONDAY:   With GDP announced on Good Friday being a little stronger than expected, this week’s Employment Situation Report, if strong, could send the signal that another interest rate hike is going to be upon us. Is that good or bad for stock markets?

TUESDAY:  Janet Yellen speaks today and other Federal reserve Governors follow during the rest of the week leading up to Friday’s Employment Situation report, as the morning looks to continue yesterday’s ennui.

WEDNESDAY: Janet Yellen’s dovish tone yesterday has the rally continuing today in the pre-open, as the futures are also continuing to head its own way, apart from the direction of oil

THURSDAY: After 2 days of Janet Yellen induced optimism, the futures may be signaling a little break as we await tomorrow’s Employment Situation Report to see whether or not the economy is also taking a little break

FRIDAY:.  Just ahead of the Employment Situation Report release, futures are lower, but there’s no telling what a surprising number in either direction will lead to

 

 

 

 



 

                                                                                                                                           

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Weekly Summary

  

Dashboard – March 21 – 25, 2016

 

 

 

 

 

SELECTIONS

MONDAY:   Another flat start to the day to start a news free and shortened trading week

TUESDAY:  Markets are calm in the early futures trading as news of terror attacks in Belgium greeted them during what was expected to be a quiet week leading up to Easter

WEDNESDAY: After a calm day yesterday, despite the lack of calm around the world, today appears as if it may be another day of relative quiet.

THURSDAY: Another sharp drop in oil may be in store today, but yesterday’s market didn’t follow in quantity, only direction

FRIDAY:

 

 

 

 



 

                                                                                                                                           

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Weekly Summary

  

Dashboard – March 14 – 18, 2016

 

 

 

 

 

SELECTIONS

MONDAY:   Maybe oil takes a back seat this week as the FOMC Statement is released and Janet Yellen holds a press conference. With no one expecting a change in rate policy we may get an idea of how far ahead the Federal Reserve’s crystal ball can see

TUESDAY:  We may be back to normal today as oil is down considerably and stock futures are following, as the FOMC begins their meeting.

WEDNESDAY: In the hours before yet another FOMC meeting that is being the described as “the most important in some time” markets didn’t have their usual pre-celebration the day before and are looking as if they’ll start the day off flat

THURSDAY: Stock futures have been all over the place this morning, while oil moves moderately higher. In the meantime, traders in stocks, metals and bonds can ponder what yesterday’s FOMC Statement release and Janet Yellen’s comments really mean as far as the health of the US economy goes.

FRIDAY:

 

 

 

 



 

                                                                                                                                           

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 “SNEAK PEEK AT NEXT WEEK” APPEARS ON FRIDAYS

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Weekly Summary

  

Dashboard – March 7 – 11, 2016

 

 

 

 

 

SELECTIONS

MONDAY:   There’s very little on tap this week as we prepare for next week’s FOMC. It will be interesting to see whether the commodity led rally can continue in the absence of fundamental reasons

TUESDAY:  Today oil is heading lower and so are stocks. What a surprise.

WEDNESDAY:  Another surprise. Oil heads higher and stocks follow as the futures are unfolding this morning. Hard to believe that there was once a time when the relationship between the two wasn’t as clear cut.

THURSDAY: Oil flat, markets flat. What else do I have to say/ Maybe next week’s FOMC will be a change of theme

FRIDAY:. Futures much higher as we get ready to end the end, while oil is moderately higher. The theme goes on

 

 

 

 



 

                                                                                                                                           

Today's TradesCash-o-Meter

 

 

 





 “SNEAK PEEK AT NEXT WEEK” APPEARS ON FRIDAYS

Sneak PeekPie Chart Distribution

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Summary