“When you’re a hammer, everything looks like a nail.”
That old saying has some truth to it.
Maybe a lot of truth.
When you think about stocks all day long everything seems to be some sort of an indicator as I look for a rational explanation to what is often a prelude to an irrational outcome.
Reducing the intricate character of what is found in nature to a mathematical sequence is both uplifting and deflating.
When the very thought of uplifting and deflating conjures up an image of a stock chart it may be time to re-evaluate things.
When you start seeing the beauty in nature as a series of peaks and troughs and start thinking about Fibonacci Retracements, it is definitely time to step back.
Sometimes stepping back is the healthy thing to do, but as the market has been climbing it’s most recent mountain that has repeatedly taken the S&P 500 to new closing highs, it hasn’t taken very many breaks in its ascent.
You don’t have to be a technician, nor a mountain climber to know that every now and then you have to regroup and re-energize.
You also don’t have to be a mountain climber to know that standing on the edge of a cliff is fraught with danger, just as each step higher adds to risk, unless there’s a place to rest.